The 1967 Referendum

Referendum timing

In many important political problems, citizens can directly participate in the decision making through a referendum. Examples include accession to international organizations (EU, Euro monetary union) or Quebec’s independence referendum. These settings are often characterized by uncertainty over the future consequences of the decision, the possibility of (at least partial) learning about these ...

Initiative and Referendum

All modern democracies rely on representatives to formulate and administer policies. Representative government takes advantage of division of labor: a small group of experts can develop expertise in policy, freeing everyone else to pursue other tasks. The downside is that elected officials may fail to pursue the interests of voters. A popular remedy for the ills of representative government is ...

A statistical approach to assess referendum results: The venezuelan recall referendum 2004

This article presents a statistical approach to assess the coherence of official results of referendum processes. The statistical analysis described is divided in four phases, according to the methodology used and the corresponding results: (1) Initial Study, (2) Quantification of irregular certificates of election, (3) Identification of irregular voting centers and (4) Estimation of recall ref...

The Independence Referendum: Predicting the Outcome

1 Thanks are due to my colleagues, Angus Armstrong and Liam Delaney for helpful comments on earlier drafts of this paper. As usual, the responsibility for its content rest with the author.

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